Comparative assessment of public evidence
Ukraine & Kazakhstan | Evidence cut-off: Kazakhstan 4 September 2026; Ukraine 6 September 2026
Where the public record supports commercial reliance and where further evidence is needed
Use this assessment to scope the next enquiry. It identifies the records needed to test archive usability, reporting coverage, professional capacity and cost for an asset or portfolio.
Priorities for commercial reliance
Reported delivery, access evidence and reporting uptake support different starting points for enquiries. Kazakhstan requires tests of usable data and deposit coverage; Ukraine also needs file-level clearance, availability and reuse checks.
| Stage | Kazakhstan | Ukraine |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Archive coverage | Large bounded delivery 4,818,836 priority units reported digitised; the denominator is the planned priority tranche, not every archival object. K1 K2 | Progress, no national measure The 2019 audited baseline, a UGS-reported 6,000-book delivery and a separate UGS-reported 60,000-unit programme do not form one completion series. U1 U3 U4 U5 U15 |
| 2. Usability & access | Post-scan work remains Structuring, cataloguing, georeferencing and conversion to machine-readable form are identified as the next stage before investor use. K1 K12 | Access chain unresolved Coverage, portal availability, file-level declassification, copying rights and machine-readable structure require reconciliation. U5 U6 U8 |
| 3. Reporting architecture | Domestic CRIRSCO framework KAZRC and its professional architecture have operated since 2016; later rules define deposit-level state-accounting routes. K3 K6 K7 | International routes, no NRO International professional routes exist, and domestic law permits applicant-requested international standards; no Ukrainian CRIRSCO NRO is listed. Separately, the 2025 UNFC-2019 reform is state-led, not CRIRSCO-family public reporting. U9 U11 U12 U13 U16 U17 |
| 4. Portfolio restatement | No national share Accepted-report totals do not establish unique deposits or the share of the state balance restated. A GKZ/KAZRC crosswalk is missing. K4 K8 | No national share Public JORC and NI 43-101 examples exist, but no national census or defensible restatement share was found. U18 U19 DKZ guidance does not permit direct mechanical translation. U10 |
| Dimension | Kazakhstan | Ukraine |
|---|---|---|
| Principal archive issue | Structuring and usability after scanning | Completion, access, declassification and structuring |
| Reporting/reconciliation route | Applicant-led and deposit-specific | Applicant-led and deposit-specific |
| National restatement programme | Not evidenced | Not evidenced |
| National conversion percentage | Not defensible | Not defensible |
| Professional capacity | Current eligible CP pool and QMR/reader capacity not established | Eligible CP/QP pool not established; eligibility remains person- and code-specific |
| Cost benchmark | Deposit-specific; no national restatement benchmark | Deposit-specific; no national restatement benchmark |
| Automation boundary | OCR, GIS-filtered structuring and predictive modelling evidence; not reserve conversion | Structured entry reported; OCR and AI remain roadmap-stage; no category conversion evidenced |
| Commercial diligence bottleneck | Crosswalk, usability and CP capacity | Archive/access/declassification, crosswalk and CP capacity |
Reporting adoption and portfolio visibility
Reported archive delivery and KAZRC uptake establish activity. A dated link between state-balance entries, signed reports and acceptance outcomes is still needed to assess deposit coverage and scope further work.
Primary units reported digitised by September 2026. The claim is bounded to the defined tranche. K1 K2
Reports reported accepted by October 2025. The figure counts reports, not necessarily unique deposits. K8
No dated national deposit/report crosswalk or valid denominator was found.
Material reporting activity within an established domestic KAZRC framework, supported by a legal route into state accounting. K3 K4 K8
A count of unique deposits, the share of the Soviet-era state balance restated, a standard quantity adjustment or a national conversion schedule.
Resolution No. 874 and the administrative algorithm define when GKZ or KAZRC information may enter state accounting. The accounting rules preserve separate GKZ and KAZRC information; acceptance is deposit-specific, with corresponding account changes. K3 K4 K5
A September 2026 government review reported 795,800 tonnes of C2-category reserves at Irgiz. This is contemporary public evidence that GKZ categories remain operational; it is not a CRIRSCO-family restatement. K1
Implication: institutional integration is real, but it does not produce a public portfolio crosswalk by itself.
Public snapshots cite 106 self-certified CPs in 2023, more than 80 report authors and 40 QMR holders in April 2025, and 522 total members displayed in September 2026. These are different measures and dates, not a current commodity-specific eligible-signatory pool. K9 K10 K11
Implication: schedule risk requires a live roster, specialty map and backlog check.
Confirm stable identifiers, availability, restriction status and retrieval performance.
Catalogue, georeference, extract and quality-control the record. Scanning alone does not satisfy this gate. K12
Join GKZ protocol, KAZRC report, effective date, author, reader and acceptance outcome.
Commission CP work, validation, modelling and additional studies required by the asset.
Coverage, clearance and retrieval
Ukraine’s published figures describe different dates, collections and units. Scoping work on an asset requires an archive record connecting identifiers to clearance, retrieval, reuse rights and evidence available for professional reporting. U2
Geological reports, occupying 167,416 storage units; 4,574 computer copies represented 8.2% of reports at that date. U1
UGS-reported digitised and mapped online; public availability was not independently verified. UGS described access as temporarily restricted, and NACP later found relevant data absent from the portal. U3 U5
UGS-reported 60,000-unit, EUR1.8m scope over 30 months; not a completed total. EBRD independently confirms the approved cooperation, not the amount. U4 U15
The three measures cannot be added or converted into a current national percentage.
SBU Order 207 deleted two nationwide secrecy-list provisions covering specified mineral-reserve and prospect information. U6 U7
Declassification does not establish that every underlying report is cleared, unrestricted or available for copying.
Article 39 provides an inspection basis and applicant-funded digital copying, but not a demonstrated bulk-release or onward-publication right. U8
No Ukrainian National Reporting Organisation is listed by CRIRSCO. International professional routes remain available: UAG participates in the European Geologist process, and JORC recognises EFG at EurGeol grade, subject to person-specific experience, responsibility and consent. U11 U12 U13
Article 45 allows international standards at the applicant’s request. U9
DKZ guidance rejects direct mechanical translation from historical categories into CRIRSCO-family reporting. State structured-entry delivery and OCR/AI roadmaps do not establish a deployed system producing signed, code-compliant Resources or Reserves. U10 U5 U14
A Q2 2026 oversight record also found relevant digitised data absent from the portal, underscoring the distinction between scanning and usable access. U5
Scoping the next enquiry
The country findings translate into six document and capability checks for scoping due diligence. They define evidence requirements; denominators, commodities and legal contexts remain insufficiently harmonised for a single country score.
Can each report, volume and dataset be identified against a current denominator?
KZ: priority tranche bounded; archive-wide usability manifest needed.
UA: national denominator and reconciled series needed.
Can a user obtain, copy and lawfully reuse the relevant material in predictable time?
KZ: test platform and retrieval performance.
UA: add file-level declassification and rights schedule.
Are metadata, assays, collars, intervals, maps and models queryable and quality-controlled?
Both: scanning and OCR are inputs, not proof of analytical usability.
Is there a recognised code, acceptance mechanism and accountable professional route?
KZ: domestic KAZRC architecture established.
UA: international routes exist; domestic NRO absent.
Are eligible professionals available by commodity and method, with known lead times?
Both: live capacity is not established by membership or historical snapshots.
Can state inventory, signed report, acceptance outcome and work programme be reconciled?
Both: no defensible national conversion percentage or restatement cost benchmark.
Request asset identifiers, current signed reports and an inventory reconciliation. Test retrieval and data quality, then use scoped professional quotations to assess remaining work and timing.
Publish manifests, rights status, machine-readable schemas, retrieval service levels and deposit/report crosswalks. Build professional capacity alongside archive programmes.
Tie delivery assessment to sampled retrieval, extraction quality, publication rights and source lineage. Record completed pilot outputs and professional acceptance alongside document counts.
Archive structuring, performance-tested access, a dated GKZ/KAZRC deposit crosswalk and a live capacity map for CPs, QMR holders and readers.
A reconciled archive manifest, file-level declassification and reuse-rights mapping, tested portal access, then the reporting crosswalk and eligible CP/QP capacity.
Commercial reliance rests on a traceable asset record: identifiable source material, usable data, documented rights and reconciliation to a report signed by an eligible professional.
Evidence discipline
This assessment of public evidence compares two Aletheia country briefs using the same commercial-usability questions. It connects reported progress to the records required for reliance. Kazakhstan sources were cut off on 4 September 2026; Ukraine sources on 6 September 2026.
“Established” means supported within the inspected public record. Reported delivery figures are not necessarily independently audited. “Not established” means not evidenced in that record, not proof that no unpublished activity exists.
Counts of units, reports, books, pages, deposits and accepted reports are not interchangeable. KAZRC report totals do not equal unique deposits. UNFC or national state-balance classifications do not equal CRIRSCO-family public reporting.
This is not a reserve estimate, legal opinion, investment recommendation or country ranking.
Read this comparison first; the Ukraine and Kazakhstan assessments provide full registers and case evidence.
For an example of the Aletheia system’s analytical output, see our internal screening assessment.
Discuss the decision, evidence gaps and professional checks needed to scope an assessment.